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Sunday, July 10, 2011

DFL endorsment for 8th congressinal district.

There has been some talk as of late about who will receive the DFL endorsement to run against Chip Cravaak for the 8th CD district. As of now there are three people in the running, Duluth City Councilor Jeff Anderson, carpetbagger Terryle Clark and Rick Nolan.

The noise I have heard is that is it all but Jeff Anderson's endorsement. Anderson has a strong following in Duluth and around the Duluth area. He has been working the district pretty well also. So from what I hear it is his to lose. Here is how I think it will go when the process takes place, Anderson will get the endorsement Nolan will be second and Clark third.

What will that mean? Most likely Nolan will then drop out, as he needs the endorsement to keep moving on. This putting Anderson and Clark in a primary. Clark has the money, and the knowledge to raise a lot of money. Can she buy the primary like Dayton did? I don't think so, the voters here will support Anderson.

Rick Nolan lives in the southern part of the district, again where Cravaak won and seems to still be popular. Cravaak also resides in the southern part of the district.

If Nolan wants to get the DFL endorsement he will have to come to the Northern part of district and get votes.

The place she maybe able to make up ground is the southern part of the district, but that part of the district voted for Chip Cravaak in the last election, and the southern part of the district seems pleased with how he is doing.

I think Anderson wins the primary with 54% of the vote. This putting him against Cravaak depending on what goes on with re-destructing, but I think it will stay the way it is now. Cravaak also knows he needs a good percentage of the vote in the northern district to retain the seat in the next election.

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